on that grid, using ESPNs projection system. In my expe

on that grid, using ESPNs projection system. In my expe

27.09.2019 17:50

GUANGZHOU, China -- Viktorija Golubic advanced to the quarterfinals at the Guangzhou Open by beating top-seeded Sara Errani 6-7 (7), 6-3, 6-4 Wednesday.The 23-year-old Swiss will next face Anett Kontaveit of Estonia, who beat Zhu Lin of China 6-1, 3-6, 6-0.Defending champion Jelena Jankovic, third-seeded Ana Konjuh, fifth-seeded Alison Riske, Jennifer Brady, Lesia Tsurenko and 2013 Wimbledon finalist Sabine Lisicki also advanced. Vapormax Baratas . The veteran safety was a starter for the Bengals from 2008-2012. He totaled 41 tackles and three interceptions while starting all but four of the 13 games he played last season. Vapormax Plus Falsas ., and Rudi Swiegers of Kipling, Sask., took sixth spot on Saturday in pairs at the NHK Trophy ISU Grand Prix figure skating competition. http://www.vapormaxbaratas.com/vapormax-flyknit-3-baratas-venta/hombre.html . Blackwood, 28, has played the last three seasons in the San Diego Padres system, including the past two summers with Class AA San Antonio of the Texas League. Nike Air Max Plus Tn Baratas . "It doesnt get any better than that," Giambi said. "Im speechless." The Indians are roaring toward October. Giambi belted a two-run, pinch-hit homer with two outs in the ninth inning to give Cleveland a shocking 5-4 win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday night, keeping the Indians up with the lead pack in the AL wild-card race. Vapormax Off White Negras . Ibaka equaled a career high with 20 rebounds, adding four blocked shots and 15 points as the Thunder smothered the Milwaukee Bucks offence in a 92-79 victory Saturday night. Quarterbacks, quarterbacks, quarterbacks. In the modern-day NFL, and therefore also fantasy football, the game is all about the quarterbacks.Statistically speaking, consider that, in 2015:The quarterback position set an all-time, single-season record for fantasy points in a single season; it exceeded the previous record, in fact, by 6 percent.Seventeen quarterbacks scored at least 240 fantasy points -- thats an average of 15 per game over a 16-game season -- a record number reaching that threshold, and those 17 outscored every player at every other position.Now, take a seat, because this is an entirely against-the-grain request: Never pay sticker price to secure your quarterback; always seek a deep discount.To be clear, that advice does not read Always wait at quarterback. No, thriftiness is the angle at quarterback these days, with a big reason being that the supply of quality quarterbacks also has increased dramatically. To illustrate, consider the extent to which the positions replacement level has risen:The Nos. 11, 13 and 15 finishing quarterbacks in fantasy points set all-time standards for those ranking spots. In fact, spanning from the eighth-highest-scoring quarterback to the 24th-highest-scoring quarterback, every one of those spots set single-season records, as did spots 26, 28 and 29.Turn back the clock 10 seasons to 2006, then take the two seasons on either side of it for a five-year sample (2004-08). The No. 21 quarterback in fantasy points during that five-year span averaged 141 fantasy points. In 2015, the No. 21 quarterback scored 217.The result is twofold, fueling a thrifty but not lackadaisical strategy: Modern quarterbacks are only minimally more valuable -- and arguably no more valuable -- relative to replacement than theyve been at any other time in the past quarter century, but its also imperative that you secure yourself one of the top scores each and every week. In short, you demand a potential league leader -- the effective Newton of 2016 -- and you want to acquire him at a price tag as close to a handout as possible.Addressing the former point about securing top scores, consider that last season, the average team in an ESPN league received 16.2 fantasy points from its quarterback. To clarify, that number includes every team, even inactive ones (an increasing occurrence in the waning weeks of the year), and every week of the season, including playoffs (Weeks 14-17). Pacing that to a 16-game schedule, thats 259 fantasy points, a threshold reached by only 15 individual quarterbacks in 2015, and never by more than 10 in any previous season in NFL history.Again, that was by an average team, which in theory should be the one that finishes 7-6 or 6-7 (a six/seven seed, or not a premium contender). The idea, in this game, is to be the virtual lock for the fantasy playoffs, raising the bar higher.Also using last seasons data, lets next examine our ESPN consensus weekly rankings. The 170 quarterbacks we ranked in our weekly top 10 -- thats 17 weeks times 10 quarterbacks -- averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game, which over a 16-game schedule equates to 299 fantasy points. Only six quarterbacks scored 299 or more individually last season, which shows not only how frequently the identities of these perceived elite passers changed from week to week, but also how challenging a task it is to demand as many as 18 to 19 points from your quarterback.This suggests that the more competitive fantasy squads are probably squeezing a good 20 fantasy points out of their quarterbacks on a weekly basis.Finally, for some pie-in-the-sky perspective, the No. 10 weekly scorer at quarterback last season -- owned, started, free agent, whatever -- averaged 19.2 fantasy points. Over a 16-game schedule, thats 307 fantasy points, a threshold reached only 33 times total in the games history. That only reaffirms that 20-point weekly target.To the latter point about securing a quarterback at a near-handout price tag, the 2015 season was as demonstrative of this strategy as any, as Blake Bortles, Carson Palmer, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Derek Carr, Jameis Winston, Alex Smith and Tyrod Taylor, who finished fourth (302 fantasy points), fifth (300), eighth (283), 12th (272), 13th (262), 14th (261), 15th (259) and 16th (258), respectively, and comprised eight of the 17 aforementioned quarterbacks to scale the 240-point plateau, had undrafted ADPs (average draft positions) in ESPN standard leagues (meaning beneath the 16th round, on average). Taking that further, Carr, Smith and Taylor were drafted in fewer than 20 percent of ESPN leagues, Bortles and Cousins in fewer than 10 percent, and Fitzpatrick in a mere 4.7 percent.Ultimately, Bortles (18.3 percent) and Palmer (18.0) found themselves on the second- and third-largest percentages of ESPN championship rosters, with the quarterback most owned on championship teams being a player you couldve selected in the 10th round on average (ADP: 92/97.2): Cam Newton.Thats not to suggest that every season we should expect so many sources of elite production available at a dirt-cheap rate. Yes, 2015 was an unusually generous year on that front. Still, last years coupling trends of quarterbacks raising the statistical bar and providing elite contributions from the least expected places has forced us to adjust our draft-day -- and in-season -- strategies at the position.Strategy adjustment 1: Do your homewwork!First, going forward, we need to be as attentive to our draft rankings as ever.dddddddddddd It is absolutely essential that we get quarterback rankings and projections correct, so as to completely avoid any possible wasted resources on them at the draft table.This means coming up with the most accurate fantasy points projection we can for each quarterback, then mapping them across the 16 rounds of a standard ESPN draft (you can also adjust this for your leagues specs). To do this, we need to take VBD (value based drafting) data to determine a quarterbacks value relative to replacement level, compare him to players at other positions to get an overall ranking, then restore each players raw fantasy point totals to determine yearly requirements to justifying that player in a particular round.Ive saved you the trouble; I took five years worth of VBD data and mapped it already. The chart below, under FPTS Required, shows the number of fantasy points a quarterback is expected to score in a given year to warrant his selection in that round, then lists all the quarterbacks whose ESPN projected fantasy points earns them a place in that round for 2016.The idea here is to wait, wait, wait for as long as you can for each of these quarterbacks, beyond where theyre listed in the chart. In my experience, Ive found that a minimum of one round -- 10 picks -- later is wise, 15 overall ranking spots is ideal and 20 to 25 is occasionally manageable. In addition, the ability to wait runs on an inverse scale, where its easier to wait longer on quarterbacks in the earlier rounds than later rounds.Remember, too, that these valuations use ESPNs projections; your own opinion of each players value and projected fantasy points might differ. Its a good idea to print it out and edit it for your own purposes.Strategy adjustment 2: Go ahead, be impatientNext, we need to be as reactionary as ever at the position, refusing to merely accept the scraps left over at drafts end or suffer through a slow-starting quarterbacks disappointing stretch of games. Peyton Mannings 2015 owners will be quick to share this lesson: He was the No. 4 quarterback and No. 29 overall player selected, but he posted five of nine games with fewer than 10 fantasy points before succumbing to a foot injury that limited him to only one more appearance in his teams final seven contests.If youve followed the first strategic point -- detailed draft rankings -- then you shouldnt be nearly as attached to your quarterback as you might have been had you paid market price for Manning last year. Its easy to say in hindsight, but dropping Manning was the correct strategy even as early as late September. If you had priced him properly and only rostered him for a discounted rate at the time, youd have been nowhere near as attached, wouldnt consider dropping him a bold move in the slightest and would approach the decision from a more logical than emotional standpoint.Strategy adjustment 3: Call for backupThird and finally, we need to accept the idea that drafting a backup quarterback has once again become a wise idea. As you can see from the chart above, a whopping 21 quarterbacks are listed as draft-worthy on that grid, using ESPNs projection system. In my experience -- again resulting from VBD research -- Ive found that 18 is the proper number of quarterbacks who should be rostered at the draft, meaning that all but two of the 10 teams should roster a backup. The other two squads, most likely, either took the consensus No. 1 quarterback or avoided the position entirely, and both presumably plan to be aggressive on the waiver wire for either a backup (the former) or to mix and match at the position until a clear starter emerges (the latter).This runs counter to the age-old idea that one should draft only one quarterback, with a common argument being to avoid having to make difficult weekly lineup decisions between two really good quarterbacks. Remember, though, excess is good. Quarterback success isnt about avoiding leaving your best weekly score on the bench; its about maximizing your chances of having the best weekly score in your lineup.What about two-quarterback leagues?With the rise in quarterback scoring, were also seeing a rise in questions about two-quarterback/superflex (this is where the flex position also allows you to use a quarterback) leagues, as some owners are countering this recent trend by adding another quarterback to the lineup.In two-quarterback formats, while the replacement level -- something closer to the No. 31 scorer than Nos. 18-21 at the position -- also has increased in production along with the positions upper tiers, the effect hasnt been quite as extreme. That means that top-tier quarterbacks have gained a little more value -- theyve gained roughly one to two fantasy points per game compared to replacement -- making paying for a top quarterback a bit more viable strategy in this format. The same lessons apply as in a standard league, but in a two-quarterback league, its much more imperative that you pay aggressively for at least one of your two starting quarterbacks.To help you with your two-quarterback league planning, listed below are my top 100 rankings for that format. (Rankings have been updated as of Sept. 4.)Now, get bargain hunting! ' ' '


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